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Home > North Korea: worst-case scenario?

North Korea: worst-case scenario? [1]

14 November 2016Hellendorff Bruno [2]Kellner Thierry [3]

North Korea is a strange country. Since Kim Jong-un took power, hopes of a new détente in the peninsula have been dashed by increasingly frequent provocations by Pyongyang – missiles launches and nuclear tests – with potentially disastrous regional consequences. In this way, North Korean actions prompted the issue missile defense to become a new locus of tensions between regional powers. From these developments, two fundamental questions arise: what capabilities does North Korea have? What does North Korea want? This is second part* of the analysis brings forward a critical view of Pyongyang’s ambitions and constrains as well as an open-ended probe into the diplomatic options available to the international community.

Crédit photo : les statues de Kim Il-sung et Kim Jong-il devant le "Palais du Soleil Kumsusan" - en fait, le mausolée érigé à la gloire de la dynastie Kim (source : collection privée)  

* First part : North Korea: Nuclear and ballistic stakes [4]

AttachmentSize
PDF icon Corée du Nord : le scénario du pire? [5]1.26 MB

Mots clés: 

  • Corée [6]
  • DAMB [7]
  • THAAD [8]
  • missiles [9]
  • Kim Jong-Un [10]
  • arme nucléaire [11]
  • dissuasion nucléaire [12]
  • diplomatie [13]
Corée du Nord : un 5e essai nucléaire - 3 questions à Bruno Hellendorff [14]Désarmement nucléaire et armes de destruction massivePaix et sécurité en Asie-PacifiquePrévention et gestion des crises

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Source URL: http://archive3.grip.org/en/node/2136

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[1] http://archive3.grip.org/en/node/2136
[2] http://archive3.grip.org/en/node/64
[3] http://archive3.grip.org/en/node/393
[4] http://www.grip.org/en/node/2117
[5] http://archive3.grip.org/sites/default/files/NOTES_ANALYSE/2016/NA_2016-11-14_FR_B-HELLENDORFF.pdf
[6] http://archive3.grip.org/en/taxonomy/term/1449
[7] http://archive3.grip.org/en/taxonomy/term/1454
[8] http://archive3.grip.org/en/taxonomy/term/1450
[9] http://archive3.grip.org/en/taxonomy/term/1451
[10] http://archive3.grip.org/en/taxonomy/term/777
[11] http://archive3.grip.org/en/taxonomy/term/471
[12] http://archive3.grip.org/en/taxonomy/term/1163
[13] http://archive3.grip.org/en/taxonomy/term/134
[14] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LxxD48Bgk7o